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Application of Uncertainty Analysis of Ignition Performance to the Engineering Test Reactor

S.K. Ho, L.J. Perkins

Fusion Science and Technology / Volume 15 / Number 2P2A / March 1989 / Pages 623-628

Design of an Engineering Test Reactor / dx.doi.org/10.13182/FST89-A39767

The design of future Engineering Test Reactor (ETR) to demonstrate ignition is complicated by the uncertainties in the projected database for ignited plasmas. Application of uncertainty analysis to ETR design utilizing a figure-of-merit defined as the probability of ignition1 is presented. Performance evaluation from the uncertainty analysis in density-temperature space can locate an optimum operating window for ignition.