A Success Oriented ICF R&amp;D Plan for Commercial Demonstration by 2010

W. Steele; J. Maniscalco; J. Gordon; S. Salem; T. McCarville; D. Berwald

doi:dx.doi.org/10.13182/FST83-A22987

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A Success Oriented ICF R&D Plan for Commercial Demonstration by 2010

W. Steele, J. Maniscalco, J. Gordon, S. Salem, T. McCarville, D. Berwald

Fusion Science and Technology / Volume 4 / Number 2P3 / September 1983 / Pages 985-990

Inertial Confinement Fusion / dx.doi.org/10.13182/FST83-A22987

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A success oriented research and development plan for Inertial Confinement Fusion (ICF) leading to a commercial demonstration reactor by the year 2010 has been generated. The R&D plan was developed by using the unique approach of combining an ICF-experienced project team with technical forecast information obtained through interviews with experts in ICF-relevant technologies. The technical forecast data were analyzed with a logic network formalism to determine preferred R&D options to reach the aggressive 2010 goal. The application of the developed technical forecasting techniques has proved to be a useful planning tool.